Tweet
10/1 - 10/4 Storm weekend outlook
UPDATED FRIDAY 11AM
Many, including myself were looking to get out to fish this weekend and may do so if the conditions lighten from what is being forecast (currently weekend is highly variable between light rain to hurricane). I'll update this again as more information is known.
Source/s: Capital Weather Gang / Wapo, NOAA, WindFinder, Windy (app)
Today (Friday): Breezy and cool times continue. Like yesterday, plenty of rain — likely even more in the end. While rain is as close to 100% guaranteed as we get around here, the best odds of heavy stuff may come late in the day. High temperatures likely stay capped at around 55-60 degrees. Rain jackets are recommended even with umbrellas because of strong northeasterly breezes around 15 mph, gusty at times. Confidence: Medium
Tonight: Flood watches are to be taken seriously, especially at night. Moderate to heavy rain periods continue with northeast wind 20-25 mph. Even if rain lets up nearer dawn, wind may not. Rain amounts 2-3 inches are not impossible by Saturday morning. We think the heaviest amounts may focus south and southwest of the immediate D.C. area. Low temperatures bottom out in the upper 40s to low 50s. Confidence: Medium-High
For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast into next week…
Tomorrow (Saturday): Cool rain may continue at times. Especially in the morning (60% chance). Winds from the northeast may remain noticeable around 25 mph at times. Off-and-on light showers are possible through the afternoon, with clouds staying put. We have the tiniest silver lining, perhaps, with slightly milder temperatures getting into the mid-to-upper 60s. Confidence: Medium
Tomorrow night: We still do have wind around 20-25 mph at times, out of the northeast most likely, but at least rain chances are lower at around 40%. A quick downpour can’t be ruled out, but we generally think the rain’s texture will be that of showers or brief periods of rain. We’ll keep an eye on it. Our ground is soaked! Low temperatures in the 50s are likely, with the warmest readings downtown and south of town. Confidence: Medium
Sunday: It looks like our chances for rain and showers go up just a little bit (to around 50%) during the day, but the stiff breeze around 15-20 mph out of the northeast may pester you more. High temperatures generally head for the mid-60s. Clouds would probably have to give us a few breaks to get any higher in temperature, and that is not very likely. Joaquin may be passing by in this time frame. There’s still some question to how close it might get, but the trend has been far enough offshore not to worry too much. Confidence: Low-Medium
Forecast radar at 5 p.m. Friday from the overnight run of the NAM model. (Weatherbell.com)
A LOOK AHEAD
Sunday night: Still could be damp (50% chance) with almost-guaranteed clouds along with mild, clammy conditions. Low temperatures hover in the mid-50s to around 60. Confidence: Low-Medium
Rain, clouds, breeze—are all moving out slowly by surely–by Monday and Tuesday. Any rain and showers (50% chance) on Monday could scoot out of the way by afternoon to make way for a few cracks in the clouds. We have increasing sunshine and brighter skies for Tuesday, which currently looks dry. High temperatures remain comfortable and fall-like, in the upper 60 to low 70s. We may need a good deal of sunshine to get much above the 70-degree mark, but I am optimistic. Confidence: Low-Medium
Many, including myself were looking to get out to fish this weekend and may do so if the conditions lighten from what is being forecast (currently weekend is highly variable between light rain to hurricane). I'll update this again as more information is known.
Source/s: Capital Weather Gang / Wapo, NOAA, WindFinder, Windy (app)
Today (Friday): Breezy and cool times continue. Like yesterday, plenty of rain — likely even more in the end. While rain is as close to 100% guaranteed as we get around here, the best odds of heavy stuff may come late in the day. High temperatures likely stay capped at around 55-60 degrees. Rain jackets are recommended even with umbrellas because of strong northeasterly breezes around 15 mph, gusty at times. Confidence: Medium
Tonight: Flood watches are to be taken seriously, especially at night. Moderate to heavy rain periods continue with northeast wind 20-25 mph. Even if rain lets up nearer dawn, wind may not. Rain amounts 2-3 inches are not impossible by Saturday morning. We think the heaviest amounts may focus south and southwest of the immediate D.C. area. Low temperatures bottom out in the upper 40s to low 50s. Confidence: Medium-High
For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast into next week…
Tomorrow (Saturday): Cool rain may continue at times. Especially in the morning (60% chance). Winds from the northeast may remain noticeable around 25 mph at times. Off-and-on light showers are possible through the afternoon, with clouds staying put. We have the tiniest silver lining, perhaps, with slightly milder temperatures getting into the mid-to-upper 60s. Confidence: Medium
Tomorrow night: We still do have wind around 20-25 mph at times, out of the northeast most likely, but at least rain chances are lower at around 40%. A quick downpour can’t be ruled out, but we generally think the rain’s texture will be that of showers or brief periods of rain. We’ll keep an eye on it. Our ground is soaked! Low temperatures in the 50s are likely, with the warmest readings downtown and south of town. Confidence: Medium
Sunday: It looks like our chances for rain and showers go up just a little bit (to around 50%) during the day, but the stiff breeze around 15-20 mph out of the northeast may pester you more. High temperatures generally head for the mid-60s. Clouds would probably have to give us a few breaks to get any higher in temperature, and that is not very likely. Joaquin may be passing by in this time frame. There’s still some question to how close it might get, but the trend has been far enough offshore not to worry too much. Confidence: Low-Medium
Forecast radar at 5 p.m. Friday from the overnight run of the NAM model. (Weatherbell.com)
A LOOK AHEAD
Sunday night: Still could be damp (50% chance) with almost-guaranteed clouds along with mild, clammy conditions. Low temperatures hover in the mid-50s to around 60. Confidence: Low-Medium
Rain, clouds, breeze—are all moving out slowly by surely–by Monday and Tuesday. Any rain and showers (50% chance) on Monday could scoot out of the way by afternoon to make way for a few cracks in the clouds. We have increasing sunshine and brighter skies for Tuesday, which currently looks dry. High temperatures remain comfortable and fall-like, in the upper 60 to low 70s. We may need a good deal of sunshine to get much above the 70-degree mark, but I am optimistic. Confidence: Low-Medium
Comment